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Type: Journal Article
Author(s): Lara Schwarz; Anna Dimitrova; Rosana Aguilera; Rupa Basu; Alexander Gershunov; Tarik Benmarhnia
Publication Date: 2022

Background: Recent evidence has shown an association between wildfire smoke and COVID-19 cases and deaths. The San Francisco Bay Area, in California (USA), experienced two major concurrent public health threats in 2020: the COVID-19 pandemic and dense smoke emitted by wildfires. This provides a unprecedented context to unravel the role of acute air pollution exposure on COVID-19 severity. Methods: A smoke product provided by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association Hazard Mapping System was used to identify counties exposed to heavy smoke in summer and fall of 2020. Daily COVID-19 cases and deaths for the United States were downloaded at the county-level from the CDC COVID Data Tracker. Synthetic control methods were used to estimate the causal effect of the wildfire smoke on daily COVID-19 case fatality ratios, adjusting for population mobility. Results: Evidence of an impact of wildfire smoke on COVID-19 case fatality ratios was observed, with precise estimates in Alameda and San Francisco. Up to 58 (95% CI: 29, 87) additional deaths for every 1,000 COVID-19 incident daily cases attributable to wildfire smoke was estimated in Alameda in early September. Conclusions: Findings indicated that extreme weather events such as wildfires smoke can drive increased vulnerability to infectious diseases, highlighting the need to further study these colliding crises. Understanding the environmental drivers of COVID-19 mortality can be used to protect vulnerable populations from these potentially concomitant public health threats.

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Citation: Schwarz, Lara; Dimitrova, Anna; Aguilera, Rosana Maria; Basu, Rupa; Gershunov, Alexander; Benmarhnia, Tarik. 2022. Smoke and COVID-19 case fatality ratios during California wildfires. Environmental Research Letters 17(1):014054.

Cataloging Information

Topics:
Regions:
Keywords:
  • air pollution
  • air quality
  • COVID-19
  • human fatality
  • human health
  • San Francisco Bay Area
  • wildfires
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (https://www.frames.gov/contact)
FRAMES Record Number: 65090