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Type: Journal Article
Author(s): Rupert Seidl; Paulo A. Martins Fernandes; Teresa F. Fonseca; F. Gillet; Anna Maria Jönsson; Katarína Merganicova; Sigrid Netherer; Alexander Arpaci; Jean-Daniel Bontemps; Harald Bugmann; José Ramón González-Olabarria; Petra Lasch; Céline Meredieu; Francisco Moreira; Mart-Jan Schelhaas; Frits Mohren
Publication Date: 2011

Natural disturbances play a key role in ecosystem dynamics and are important factors for sustainable forest ecosystem management. Quantitative models are frequently employed to tackle the complexities associated with disturbance processes. Here we review the wide variety of approaches to modelling natural disturbances in forest ecosystems, addressing the full spectrum of disturbance modelling from single events to integrated disturbance regimes. We applied a general, process-based framework founded in disturbance ecology to analyze modelling approaches for drought, wind, forest fires, insect pests and ungulate browsing. Modelling approaches were reviewed by disturbance agent and mechanism, and a set of general disturbance modelling concepts was deduced. We found that although the number of disturbance modelling approaches emerging over the last 15 years has increased strongly, statistical concepts for descriptive modelling are still largely prevalent over mechanistic concepts for explanatory and predictive applications. Yet, considering the increasing importance of disturbances for forest dynamics and ecosystem stewardship under anthropogenic climate change, the latter concepts are crucial tool for understanding and coping with change in forest ecosystems. Current challenges for disturbance modelling in forest ecosystems are thus (i) to overcome remaining limits in process understanding, (ii) to further a mechanistic foundation in disturbance modelling, (iii) to integrate multiple disturbance processes in dynamic ecosystem models for decision support in forest management, and (iv) to bring together scaling capabilities across several levels of organization with a representation of system complexity that captures the emergent behaviour of disturbance regimes. © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Citation: Seidl, R. et al. 2011. Modelling natural disturbances in forest ecosystems: a review. Ecological Modelling, v. 222, no. 4, p. 903-924. 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.09.040.

Cataloging Information

Topics:
Climate    Fire Ecology    Fire Effects    Models    Weather
Regions:
Alaska    California    Eastern    Great Basin    Hawaii    Northern Rockies    Northwest    Rocky Mountain    Southern    Southwest    International    National
Keywords:
  • browse
  • disturbance
  • disturbance modelling
  • droughts
  • ecosystem dynamics
  • fire management
  • forest management
  • herbivory
  • insect herbivory
  • insects
  • storms
  • wildfires
  • wind storm
Tall Timbers Record Number: 26002Location Status: Not in fileCall Number: Not in FileAbstract Status: Fair use, Okay, Reproduced by permission
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (https://www.frames.gov/contact)
FRAMES Record Number: 49581

This bibliographic record was either created or modified by Tall Timbers and is provided without charge to promote research and education in Fire Ecology. The E.V. Komarek Fire Ecology Database is the intellectual property of Tall Timbers.