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Type: Journal Article
Author(s): Donald McKenzie; Susan M. O'Neill; Narasimhan K. Larkin; Robert A. Norheim
Publication Date: 2005

Visibility impairment from regional haze is a significant problem throughout the continental United States. A substantial portion of regional haze is produced by smoke from prescribed and wildland fires. Here we describe the integration of four simulation models, an array of GIS raster layers, and a set of algorithms for fire-danger calculations into a modeling framework for simulating regional-scale smoke dispersion. We focus on a representative fire season (2003) in the northwestern USA, on a 12 km domain, and track the simulated dispersion and concentration of PM2.5 over the course of the season. Simulated visibility reductions over national parks and wilderness areas are within the ranges of measured values at selected monitoring sites, although the magnitudes of peak events are underestimated because these include inputs other than fire. By linking the spatial and temporal patterns of haze-producing emissions to climatic variability, particularly synoptic weather patterns, and the stochastic nature of fire occurrence across the region, we can provide a robust method for estimating the quantity and distribution of fire-caused regional haze under climate-warming scenarios.

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Citation: McKenzie, Donald; O'Neill, Susan M.; Larkin, Narasimhan K.; Norheim, Robert A. 2005. Integrating models to predict regional haze from wildland fire. Ecological Modelling 199(3):278-288.

Cataloging Information

Topics:
Regions:
Keywords:
  • air quality
  • FERA - Fire and Environmental Research Applications Team
  • fire
  • fire regimes
  • haze
  • integrated models
  • prediction models
  • regional haze
  • smoke dispersion
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (https://www.frames.gov/contact)
FRAMES Record Number: 4661