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Type: Conference Proceedings
Author(s): Yaning Liu; M. Yousuff Hussaini; Giray Okten
Editor(s): Dale D. Wade; Rebekah L. Fox
Compiler(s): Mikel L. Robinson
Publication Date: 2014

Rothermel's wildland surface fire spread model is widely used in North America. The model outputs depend on a number of input parameters, which can be broadly categorized as fuel model, fuel moisture, terrain and wind parameters. Due to the inevitable presence of uncertainty in the input parameters, the sensitivity of the model output to a given input parameter can be very useful for understanding and controlling the sources of parametric uncertainty. Instead of obtaining the local sensitivity indices, we perform a global sensitivity analysis that considers the synchronous changes of parameters in their respective ranges. The global sensitivity indices corresponding to different parameter groups are computed by constructing the truncated ANOVA-high dimensional model representation for the model outputs with a polynomial expansion approach. We apply global sensitivity analysis to six standard fuel models, namely, short grass, tall grass, chaparral, hardwood litter, timber and light logging slash. The sensitivity results are systematically compared.

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Link to this document (37.4 MB; pdf)
Citation: Liu, Yaning; Hussaini, M. Yousuff, Okten, Giray. 2014. Global sensitivity analysis for the Rothermel model based on high dimensional model representation. Pages 51-61. In: Wade, Dale D.; Fox, Rebekah L. (Editors); Robinson, Mikel L. (Compiler). Proceedings of 4th Fire Behavior and Fuels Conference, 18-22 February 2013, Raleigh, NC and 1-4 July 2013, St. Petersburg, Russia. Missoula, MT: International Association of Wildland Fire.

Cataloging Information

Topics:
Fire Behavior    Fuels    Models
Regions:
Alaska    California    Eastern    Great Basin    Hawaii    Northern Rockies    Northwest    Rocky Mountain    Southern    Southwest    International    National
Keywords:
  • fire management
  • fuel model
  • global
  • Rothermel's fire behavior model
  • sensitivity analysis
  • statistical analysis
  • wildfires
Tall Timbers Record Number: 31249Location Status: Not in fileCall Number: AvailableAbstract Status: Fair use, Okay, Reproduced by permission
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (https://www.frames.gov/contact)
FRAMES Record Number: 17691

This bibliographic record was either created or modified by Tall Timbers and is provided without charge to promote research and education in Fire Ecology. The E.V. Komarek Fire Ecology Database is the intellectual property of Tall Timbers.