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Type: Journal Article
Author(s): Martin E. Alexander; Miguel G. Cruz
Publication Date: 2013

Evaluation is a crucial component for model credibility and acceptance by researchers and resource managers. The nature and characteristics of free-burning wildland fires pose challenges to acquiring the kind of quality data necessary for adequate fire behavior model evaluation. As a result, in some circles it has led to a research culture that tends to avoid evaluating model performance. Operational fire modelling systems commonly used in western North America have been shown to exhibit an under-prediction bias when employed to determine the threshold conditions necessary for the onset of crowning and the associated spread rate of active crown fires in conifer forest stands. This pronouncement was made a few years ago after at least a decade of model misapplication in fire and fuel management simulation modelling stemming from a lack of model evaluation. There are signs that the same situation may be repeated with developing physics-based models that simulate potential wildland fire behaviour; these models have as yet undergone limited testing against observations garnered from planned and/or accidental wildland fires. We propose abroad cooperative project encompassing modellers and experimentalists is needed to define and acquire the benchmark fire behavior data required for model calibration and evaluation.

Citation: Alexander, Martin E.; Cruz, Miguel G. 2013. Are the applications of wildland fire behaviour models getting ahead of their evaluation again? Environmental Modelling & Software 41:65-71.

Cataloging Information

Topics:
Regions:
Alaska    California    Eastern    Great Basin    Hawaii    Northern Rockies    Northwest    Rocky Mountain    Southern    Southwest    International    National
Partner Sites:
Keywords:
  • crown fire
  • fire dynamics
  • fire management
  • fire models
  • forest management
  • model development
  • model performance
  • physics-based fire model
  • rate of spread
  • surface fires
  • wildfires
Tall Timbers Record Number: 28290Location Status: Not in fileCall Number: AvailableAbstract Status: Fair use, Okay, Reproduced by permission
JFSP Project Number(s):
  • 09-S-03-1
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (https://www.frames.gov/contact)
FRAMES Record Number: 16278

This bibliographic record was either created or modified by Tall Timbers and is provided without charge to promote research and education in Fire Ecology. The E.V. Komarek Fire Ecology Database is the intellectual property of Tall Timbers.