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Type: Journal Article
Author(s): Bettina Ohse; Falk Huettmann; Stefanie M. Ickert-Bond; Glenn P. Juday
Publication Date: 2009

Most wilderness areas still lack accurate distribution information on tree species. We met this need with a predictive GIS modeling approach, using freely available digital data and computer programs to efficiently obtain high-quality species distribution maps. Here we present a digital map with the predicted distribution of white spruce (Picea glauca) in Alaska (4 km resolution, accuracy over 90%). Our presented concept represents a role-model for predicting tree species distribution for remote areas world-wide. Although this model intends to be accurate in making predictions rather than to give detailed biological mechanistic explanations, it can also be used as a baseline for further research and testable hypothesis on the importance of the environmental variables used to build a generalizable model. Further, we emphasize that work like presented here is a pre-condition for assessing human impacts and impacts of climate change on species distribution in a quantitative and transparent fashion, allowing for improved sustainable decision-making world-wide.

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Citation: Ohse, Bettina; Huettmann, Falk; Ickert-Bond, Stefanie; Juday, Glenn. 2009. Modeling the distribution of white spruce (Picea glauca) for Alaska with high accuracy: an open access role-model for predicting tree species in last remaining wilderness areas. Polar Biology 32(12):1717-1729.

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Topics:
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Keywords:
  • climate change
  • Picea glauca
  • predictive model
  • SDM - species distribution model
  • species distribution
  • tree species
  • white spruce
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (https://www.frames.gov/contact)
FRAMES Record Number: 14744