Full Citation: Marshall, John D.; Blair, John M.; Peters, Debra P. C.; Okin, Gregory S.; Rango, Albert; Williams, Mark. 2008. Predicting and understanding ecosystem responses to climate change at continental scales. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 6(5):273-280.
External Identifier(s): 10.1890/070165 Digital Object Identifier
Location: Contiguous U.S.
Ecosystem types: None defined
Southwest FireCLIME Keywords: None
FRAMES Keywords: ecosystem responses, fire regimes, climate change

Predicting and understanding ecosystem responses to climate change at continental scales

John D. Marshall, John M. Blair, Debra P. C. Peters, Gregory S. Okin, Albert Rango, Mark Williams


Summary - what did the authors do and why?

This article is a review of potential ecological responses to expected changes in future climate of four key mesoscale drivers: drought, warming, snowpack disappearance, and altered fire regimes.


Publication findings:

Across the continental U.S., drought conditions, as measured by PDSI, are strongly correlated to the number of acres burned. The strength of the correlations between PDSI and acres burned vary across the U.S. at one, two, and current year time lags.

Climate and Fire Linkages

Across the continental U.S., drought conditions, as measured by PDSI, are strongly correlated to the number of acres burned. The strength of the correlations between PDSI and acres burned vary across the U.S. at one, two, and current year time lags.