Full Citation: Romps, David M.; Seeley, Jacob T.; Vollaro, David; Molinari, John. 2014. Projected increase in lightning strikes in the United States due to global warming. Science 346(6211):851-854.
External Identifier(s): 10.1126/science.1259100 Digital Object Identifier
Location: Contiguous U.S.
Ecosystem types: None
Southwest FireCLIME Keywords: None
FRAMES Keywords: lightning caused fires, wildfires, climate change, global warming, lightning strikes, fire management, forest management, lightning occurrence, CAPE - convective available potential energy

Projected increase in lightning strikes in the United States due to global warming

David M. Romps, Jacob T. Seeley, David Vollaro, John Molinari


Summary - what did the authors do and why?

The authors estimated the projected increase in the mean annual lighting flash rate based on global climate models of convective available potential energy (CAPE) and precipitation from 2079-2088.


Publication findings:

The author estimate an annual mean lightning-strike frequency increase of 12% per °C. The authors suggest this could increase the frequency of wildfire across North America.

Climate and Fire Linkages

The author estimate an annual mean lightning-strike frequency increase of 12% per °C. The authors suggest this could increase the frequency of wildfire across North America.