Full Citation: Tang, Ying; Zhong, Shiyuan; Luo, Lifeng; Bian, Xindi; Heilman, Warren E.; Winkler, Julie A. 2015. The potential impact of regional climate change on fire weather in the United States. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 105(1):1-21.
External Identifier(s): 10.1080/00045608.2014.968892 Digital Object Identifier
Location: Contiguous U.S.
Ecosystem types: None specified
Southwest FireCLIME Keywords: None
FRAMES Keywords: fire weather, Haines Index, climate change, NARCCAP - North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program

The potential impact of regional climate change on fire weather in the United States

Ying Tang, Shiyuan Zhong, Lifeng Luo, Xindi Bian, Warren E. Heilman, Julie Ann Winkler


Summary - what did the authors do and why?

The authors assessed potential changes in fire weather conditions across the contiguous U.S. based on the Haines Index to predict how fire activity and behavior may change due to climate change.


Publication findings:

Across regional climate models (RCMs) and general circulation models (CGMs) the authors found that the number of days with a high Haines Index Value (? 5) increased across most of the contiguous U.S. during the summer season. The moisture component of the Haines Index (HI) was more influential in predicting future projected changes in conditions conducive to increased fire activity than the stability component of HI.

Climate and Fire Linkages

Across regional climate models (RCMs) and general circulation models (CGMs) the authors found that the number of days with a high Haines Index Value (? 5) increased across most of the contiguous U.S. during the summer season. The moisture component of the Haines Index (HI) was more influential in predicting future projected changes in conditions conducive to increased fire activity than the stability component of HI.