Skip to main content

FRAMES logo
Resource Catalog

Document

Type: Journal Article
Author(s): Dung Tuan Nguyen; Yu Wei
Publication Date: 2022

Selecting the optimal locations and timing for prescribed burning is challenging when considering uncertainties in weather, fire behavior, and future fire suppression. In this study, we present a sample average approximation (SAA) based multistage stochastic mixed integer program with recourse to optimize prescribed burning decisions. The recourse component of the SAA model considers post-fuel-treatment suppression decisions to manage fire spreads in multiple future planning periods. Our research aims at studying how an SAA model may benefit from using random fire samples to find good locations for prescribed burning during the first planning period. Two hypothetical test cases are designed to compare the impact of fire sample sizes on solution quality, and to illustrate how to identify high-quality period-one prescribed burning solutions. Results suggest that running SAA models using larger fire sample sizes can lead to better period-one solutions, but this benefit will diminish after the sample size reaches to certain thresholds. We found multiple period-one prescribed burning decisions that may result in similar effects in mitigating future wildfire risks.

Online Links
Citation: Nguyen, Dung; Wei, Yu. 2022. A multistage stochastic program to optimize prescribed burning locations using random fire samples. Forests 13(6):930.

Cataloging Information

Topics:
Regions:
Alaska    California    Eastern    Great Basin    Hawaii    Northern Rockies    Northwest    Rocky Mountain    Southern    Southwest    National
Keywords:
  • fire risk mitigation
  • fire suppression
  • fuel treatment
  • sample average approximation
  • spatial optimization
  • wildfire management
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (https://www.frames.gov/contact)
FRAMES Record Number: 66060