Reflecting on the 1992 Canadian Forest Fire Behavior Prediction (FBP) System
Media Type: Presentation
Date: November 2019

Cataloging Information

  • FBP - CFFDRS Fire Behavior Prediction System
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Record Last Modified: December 19, 2019
FRAMES Record Number: 60462


The first complete edition of the Canadian Forest Fire Behavior Prediction (FBP) System was released by the Forestry Canada Fire Danger Group in 1992. In the intervening 27 years a number of misunderstandings in the FBP System (e.g., limited set of discrete fuel types) have arisen amongst both fire management personnel and fire researchers alike. A major contributor to this problem has been end-user expectations of what a quantitative system of fire behavior prediction should deliver.  As two of the six architects of the FBP System, now retired from the federal forest service, we are proposing to offer some commentary in regard to these misunderstandings based on our personal experience in developing the System. As part of our proposed presentation at the conference we will review the developments in research, technology transfer and applications that have occurred with the FBP System since 1992, as well as provide a historical perspective of the major experimental burning studies that formed a large part the empirical framework of the FBP System.

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