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Type: Journal Article
Author(s): James E. Hilton; C. Miller; A. L. Sullivan; Chris Rucinski
Publication Date: May 2015

Environmental conditions, such as fuel load and moisture levels, can influence the behaviour of wildfires. These factors are subject to natural small-scale variation which is usually spatially or temporally averaged for modelling fire propagation. The effect of including this variation in propagation models has not previously been fully examined or quantified. We investigate the effects of incorporating three types of variation on the shape and rate of propagation of a fire perimeter: variation in combustion conditions, wind direction and wind speed. We find that increasing the variation of combustion condition decreases the overall rate of propagation. An analytical model, based on the harmonic mean, is presented to explain this behaviour. Variation in wind direction is found to cause the development of rounded flanks due to cumulative chance of outward fluctuations at the sides of the perimeter. Our findings may be used to develop improved models for fire spread prediction. Crown Copyright © 2015 Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Citation: Hilton, J. E., C. Miller, A. L. Sullivan, and C. Rucinski. 2015. Effects of spatial and temporal variation in environmental conditions on simulation of wildfire spread. Environmental Modelling & Software, v. 67, p. 118-127. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.01.015.

Cataloging Information

Topics:
Regions:
Keywords:
  • Australia
  • fire growth
  • fire management
  • fuel loading
  • fuel moisture
  • level set
  • perimeter propagation
  • rate of spread
  • simulation
  • spark
  • wildfires
  • wind
Tall Timbers Record Number: 31135Location Status: Not in fileCall Number: AvailableAbstract Status: Fair use, Okay, Reproduced by permission
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (https://www.frames.gov/contact)
FRAMES Record Number: 53668

This bibliographic record was either created or modified by Tall Timbers and is provided without charge to promote research and education in Fire Ecology. The E.V. Komarek Fire Ecology Database is the intellectual property of Tall Timbers.