Managing burned landscapes: evaluating future management strategies for resilient forests under a warming climate
Document Type: Journal Article
Author(s): Kristen L. Shive; Peter Z. Fulé; Carolyn Hull Sieg; Barbara A. Strom; Molly E. Hunter
Publication Year: 2014

Cataloging Information

  • Arizona
  • climate change
  • climate forest vegetation simulator
  • coniferous forests
  • diameter classes
  • fire case histories
  • fire frequency
  • fire intensity
  • fire management
  • forest management
  • FVS - Forest Vegetation Simulator
  • high severity fire regime
  • juniper
  • Juniperus spp.
  • overstory
  • Pinus edulis
  • Pinus ponderosa
  • pinyon pine
  • ponderosa pine
  • regeneration
  • Rodeo-Chediski fire
  • size classes
  • succession
  • uneven-aged management
Partner Site(s):
  • Southwest FireCLIME
Record Maintained By:
Record Last Modified: February 29, 2020
FRAMES Record Number: 53385
Tall Timbers Record Number: 30763
TTRS Location Status: In-file
TTRS Call Number: Journals - I
TTRS Abstract Status: Fair use, Okay, Reproduced by permission

This bibliographic record was either created or modified by the Tall Timbers Research Station and Land Conservancy and is provided without charge to promote research and education in Fire Ecology. The E.V. Komarek Fire Ecology Database is the intellectual property of the Tall Timbers Research Station and Land Conservancy.

Annotated Bibliography

This document is part of the Southwest FireCLIME Annotated Bibliography, which includes published research related to the interactions between climate change, wildfire, and subsequent ecosystem effects in the southwestern U.S. The publications contained in the Bibliography have each been summarized to distill the outcomes as they pertain to fire and climate. Go to this document's record in the Southwest FireCLIME Annotated Bibliography.


Climate change effects on forested ecosystems worldwide include increases in drought-related mortality, changes to disturbance regimes and shifts in species distributions. Such climate-induced changes will alter the outcomes of current management strategies, complicating the selection of appropriate strategies to promote forest resilience. We modelled forest growth in ponderosa pine forests that burned in Arizona's 2002 Rodeo-Chediski Fire using the Forest Vegetation Simulator Climate Extension, where initial stand structures were defined by pre-fire treatment and fire severity. Under extreme climate change, existing forests persisted for several decades, but shifted towards pinyon-juniper woodlands by 2104. Under milder scenarios, pine persisted with reduced growth. Prescribed burning at 10- and 20-year intervals resulted in basal areas within the historical range of variability (HRV) in low-severity sites that were initially dominated by smaller diameter trees; but in sites initially dominated by larger trees, the range was consistently exceeded. For high-severity sites, prescribed fire was too frequent to reach the HRV's minimum basal area. Alternatively, for all stands under milder scenarios, uneven-aged management resulted in basal areas within the HRV because of its inherent flexibility to manipulate forest structures. These results emphasise the importance of flexible approaches to management in a changing climate.

Online Link(s):
Shive, Kristen L.; Fulé, Peter Z.; Sieg, Carolyn Hull; Strom, Barbara A.; Hunter, Molly E. 2014. Managing burned landscapes: evaluating future management strategies for resilient forests under a warming climate. International Journal of Wildland Fire 23(7):915-928.