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Type: Journal Article
Author(s): Robert E. Keane II; Geoffrey J. Cary; Russell A. Parsons
Publication Date: 2003

Spatial depictions of fire regimes are indispensable to fire management because they portray important characteristics of wildland fire, such as severity, intensity, and pattern, across a landscape that serves as important reference for future treatment activities. However, spatially explicit fire regime maps are difficult and costly to create requiring extensive expertise in fire history sampling, multivariate statistics, remotely sensed image classification, fire behaviour and effects, fuel dynamics, landscape ecology, simulation modelling, and geographical information systems (GIS). This paper first compares three common strategies for predicting fire regimes (classification, empirical, and simulation) using a 51 000 ha landscape in the Selway-Bitterroot Wilderness Area of Montana, USA. Simulation modelling is identified as the best overall strategy with respect to developing temporally deep spatial fire patterns, but it has limitations. To illustrate these problems, we performed three simulation experiments using the LANDSUM spatial model to determine the relative importance of (1) simulation time span; (2) fire frequency parameters; and (3) fire size parameters on the simulation of landscape fire return interval. The model used to simulate fire regimes is also very important, so we compared two spatially explicit landscape fire succession models (LANDSUM and FIRESCAPE) to demonstrate differences between model predictions and limitations of each on a neutral landscape. FIRESCAPE was developed for simulating fire regimes in eucalypt forests of south-eastern Australia. Finally, challenges for future simulation and fire regime research are presented including field data, scale, fire regime variability, map obsolescence, and classification resolution.

Online Links
Citation: Keane, Robert E.; Cary, Geoffrey J.; Parsons, Russell A. 2003. Using simulation to map fire regimes: an evaluation of approaches, strategies, and limitations. International Journal of Wildland Fire 12(3-4):309-322.

Cataloging Information

Keywords:
  • aborigines
  • Australia
  • catastrophic fires
  • computer programs
  • distribution
  • ecosystem dynamics
  • Eucalyptus spp.
  • fire frequency
  • fire intensity
  • fire management
  • fire regimes
  • fire size
  • FIRESCAPE
  • fuel accumulation
  • fuel types
  • GIS - geographic information system
  • ignition
  • landscape ecology
  • landscape modeling
  • LANDSUM - LANDscape SUccession Model
  • Montana
  • Native Americans
  • presettlement fires
  • rate of spread
  • remote sensing
  • season of fire
  • Selway-Bitterroot Wilderness Areas
  • statistical analysis
  • succession
  • surface fires
  • surface fuels
  • wildfires
Tall Timbers Record Number: 15850Location Status: In-fileCall Number: Journals-IAbstract Status: Fair use, Okay, Reproduced by permission
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (https://www.frames.gov/contact)
FRAMES Record Number: 41023

This bibliographic record was either created or modified by Tall Timbers and is provided without charge to promote research and education in Fire Ecology. The E.V. Komarek Fire Ecology Database is the intellectual property of Tall Timbers.