Coping with uncertainty in fuel management decisions
Document Type: Conference Paper
Author(s): D. L. Radloff
Editor(s): R. E. Martin
Publication Year: 1980

Cataloging Information

  • Arizona
  • artificial regeneration
  • coniferous forests
  • decay
  • fine fuels
  • fire frequency
  • fire intensity
  • fire size
  • fire suppression
  • flammability
  • fuel appraisal
  • fuel inventory
  • fuel management
  • fuel models
  • fuel moisture
  • national forests
  • old growth forests
  • Oregon
  • Pinus ponderosa
  • Pseudotsuga menziesii
  • site treatments
  • slash
  • thinning
  • topography
  • wildfires
  • wind
Record Maintained By:
Record Last Modified: August 5, 2018
FRAMES Record Number: 34964
Tall Timbers Record Number: 9252
TTRS Location Status: In-file
TTRS Call Number: Fire File DDW
TTRS Abstract Status: Fair use, Okay, Reproduced by permission

This bibliographic record was either created or modified by the Tall Timbers Research Station and Land Conservancy and is provided without charge to promote research and education in Fire Ecology. The E.V. Komarek Fire Ecology Database is the intellectual property of the Tall Timbers Research Station and Land Conservancy.


The appropriate level of fuel treatment following silvicultural activities depends on the fuel complex, fire occurrence rate, climate, topography, suppression capability, fire effects, values at risk, and treatment costs. Managers must account for uncertainty in these factors. A procedure combining decision analysis, fuel modeling, and fire modeling techniques is described which deals explicitly with these uncertainties. Alternative fuel treatment effects, fire occurrence rate, levels of fire behavior, and fire suppression effectiveness are incorporated in a decision tree which evaluates the possible outcomes associated with the fuel treatments. Two case studies are presented illustrating the use of the decision process.

Radloff, D. L. 1980. Coping with uncertainty in fuel management decisions, in Martin, R. E., Proceedings of the Sixth Conference on Fire and Forest Meteorology. Seattle, WA. Society of American Foresters,Washington, D.C. p. 151-155,