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Type: Conference Proceedings
Author(s): John O. Roads; Shyh-Chin Chen; Francis M. Fujioka; Robert E. Burgan
Editor(s): Greg E. Gollberg
Publication Date: 1999

An experimental fire severity forecast effort is described herein. Daily to monthly regional forecasts of nea rsurface fire-weather variables from the Scripps Experimental Climate Prediction Center experimental forecast system are being utilized for an experimental US Forest Service project concerned with predicting fire severity up to a month in advance. In particular, the severity forecast utilizes forecast estimates of fuel moisture content, drought and potential fire weather effects from temperature, relative humidity, cloud and precipitation variables. Efforts to reduce the forecast biases and evaluate the forecast skill for this complex system are underway.

Citation: Roads, John O.; Chen, Shyh-Chin; Fujioka, Francis M.; Burgan, Robert E. 1999. Development of a monthly fire severity forecast. The Joint Fire Science Conference and Workshop, Crossing the Millennium: Integrating spatial technologies and ecological principles for a new age in fire management. 2. Jun 15, 1999. Moscow, ID: University of Idaho. pp. 38-41.

Cataloging Information

Topics:
Climate    Economics    Fire History    Fuels    Hazard and Risk    Models    Planning    Weather
Regions:
Alaska    California    Eastern    Great Basin    Hawaii    Northern Rockies    Northwest    Rocky Mountain    Southern    Southwest    National
Keywords:
  • catastrophic fires
  • climatology
  • drought
  • fire danger
  • fire management
  • fire severity
  • forecast
  • fuel moisture
  • humidity
  • JFSP - Joint Fire Science Program
  • moisture
  • physics
  • precipitation
  • temperature
  • US Forest Service
Tall Timbers Record Number: 19511Location Status: In-fileAbstract Status: Okay, Fair use, Reproduced by permission
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (https://www.frames.gov/contact)
FRAMES Record Number: 2931

This bibliographic record was either created or modified by Tall Timbers and is provided without charge to promote research and education in Fire Ecology. The E.V. Komarek Fire Ecology Database is the intellectual property of Tall Timbers.