Resource Catalog
Document
Type: Conference Proceedings
Editor(s): Greg E. Gollberg
Publication Date: 1999
An experimental fire severity forecast effort is described herein. Daily to monthly regional forecasts of nea rsurface fire-weather variables from the Scripps Experimental Climate Prediction Center experimental forecast system are being utilized for an experimental US Forest Service project concerned with predicting fire severity up to a month in advance. In particular, the severity forecast utilizes forecast estimates of fuel moisture content, drought and potential fire weather effects from temperature, relative humidity, cloud and precipitation variables. Efforts to reduce the forecast biases and evaluate the forecast skill for this complex system are underway.
Citation: Roads, John O.; Chen, Shyh-Chin; Fujioka, Francis M.; Burgan, Robert E. 1999. Development of a monthly fire severity forecast. The Joint Fire Science Conference and Workshop, Crossing the Millennium: Integrating spatial technologies and ecological principles for a new age in fire management. 2. Jun 15, 1999. Moscow, ID: University of Idaho. pp. 38-41.
Cataloging Information
Keywords:
- catastrophic fires
- climatology
- drought
- fire danger
- fire management
- fire severity
- forecast
- fuel moisture
- humidity
- JFSP - Joint Fire Science Program
- moisture
- physics
- precipitation
- temperature
- US Forest Service
Tall Timbers Record Number: 19511 • Location Status: In-file • Abstract Status: Okay, Fair use, Reproduced by permission
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (https://www.frames.gov/contact)
FRAMES Record Number: 2931
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