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Type: Conference Paper
Author(s): Matthew P. Thompson
Editor(s): Robert E. Keane II; W. Matt Jolly; Russell A. Parsons; Karin L. Riley
Publication Date: 2015

The management of wildfire is a dynamic, complex, and fundamentally uncertain enterprise. Fire managers face uncertainties regarding fire weather and subsequent influence on fire behavior, the effects of fire on socioeconomic and ecological resources, and the efficacy of alternative suppression actions on fire outcomes. In these types of difficult decision environments, even well-trained and experienced individuals can become susceptible to cognitive limitations and decision biases, as indicated by several recent analyses of fire manager decision making. This extended abstract focuses on fire management decision making under uncertainty, in relation to current decision support provided by the Wildland Fire Decision Support System (WFDSS), offering several recommendations to improve decision content and process.

Online Links
Citation: Thompson, Matthew P. 2015. Decision making under uncertainty: recommendations for the Wildland Fire Decision Support System (WFDSS). Pages 317-319. In: Keane, Robert E.; Jolly, Matt; Parsons, Russell; Riley, Karin (editors). Proceedings of the large wildland fires conference; May 19-23, 2014; Missoula, MT. Proceedings RMRS-P-73. Fort Collins, CO: USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station.

Cataloging Information

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  • decision making
  • fire management
  • incident response
  • WFDSS - Wildland Fire Decision Support System
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (
FRAMES Record Number: 24531