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Type: Conference Proceedings
Author(s): Igor Kosterin; Vladimir Prisadkov; Igor Malyi; Olga Potemkina
Editor(s): Dale D. Wade; Rebekah L. Fox
Compiler(s): Mikel L. Robinson
Publication Date: 2014

Currently, authors develop methods of calculating the probability of escape from unique buildings by the probability of input parameters, namely, the specific rate of burnout, the linear velocity of propagation of the flame of fire load, the number of evacuated people, the rate of people during movement a fire, start of the evacuation. On the basis of a stochastic simulation model that implements the Monte Carlo simulator 'Town Planning Code of the Russian Federation of 29.12.2004 No. 190' was developed by assessing changes in the height of smoke-free zone during the development of a fire in the atrium. Comparison of simulation results with experimental data on the fire in the atrium of the model shows coincidence between calculated and experimental data. The aim of future work is the perfection of the presented model and increase of the number of the model input parameters.

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Citation: Kosterin, Igor; Prisadkov, Vladimir; Malyi, Igor; Potemkina, Olga. 2014. Development of methods of calculating the probability of evacuation from unique buildings based on a stochastic approach. Pages 530-532. In: Wade, Dale D.; Fox, Rebekah L. (Editors); Robinson, Mikel L. (Compiler). Proceedings of the 4th Fire Behavior and Fuels Conference, 18-22 February 2013, Raleigh, NC and 1-4 July 2013, St. Petersburg, Russia. Missoula, MT: International Association of Wildland Fire.

Cataloging Information

Topics:
Models    Safety
Regions:
Keywords:
  • atrium
  • evacuation
  • Monte Carlo simulations
  • Russia
  • unique buildings
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (https://www.frames.gov/contact)
FRAMES Record Number: 17870