Under current conditions, large, severe wildfires are a fact of life in southwestern ponderosa pine forests. What will burned systems look like over the coming decades under warming climate? Do management treatments make a lasting difference or will climate override their effects? We applied the relatively new feature of the Forest Vegetation Simulator (FVS) called Climate-FVS, which modifies the widely used FVS model to make it simulate effects of climate change. The short answer: climate change has major effects on our test site, the Rodeo-Chediski fire on Arizona´s Mogollon Rim. At the severe end of the climate scale, forests are nearly eliminated. But under more moderate climate change scenarios, management intervention makes a big difference. The strengths and weaknesses of building climate change into forest modeling are important to understand for making informed decisions. This webinar was presented by Peter Fulé, Northern Arizona University on September 25, 2013. It was hosted by the Southwest Fire Science Consortium.
(31 MB; wmv)
(36 MB; mp4)