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Type: Journal Article
Author(s): Holly A. Perryman; Christopher J. Dugaw; J. Morgan Varner III; Diane L. Johnson
Publication Date: 2013

In spite of considerable effort to predict wildland fire behaviour, the effects of firebrand lift-off, the ignition of resulting spot fires and their effects on fire spread, remain poorly understood. We developed a cellular automata model integrating key mathematical models governing current fire spread models with a recently developed model that estimates firebrand landing patterns. Using our model we simulated a wildfire in an idealised Pinus ponderosa ecosystem. Varying values of wind speed, surface fuel loading, surface fuel moisture content and canopy base height, we investigated two scenarios: (i) the probability of a spot fire igniting beyond fuelbreaks of various widths and (ii) how spot fires directly affect the overall surface fire's rate of spread. Results were averages across 2500 stochastic simulations. In both scenarios, canopy base height and surface fuel loading had a greater influence than wind speed and surface fuel moisture content. The expected rate of spread with spot fires occurring approached a constant value over time, which ranged between 6 and 931% higher than the predicted surface fire rate of spread. Incorporation of the role of spot fires in wildland fire spread should be an important thrust of future decision-support technologies.

Online Links
Citation: Perryman, Holly A.; Dugaw, Christopher J.; Varner, J. Morgan; Johnson, Diane L. 2013. A cellular automata model to link surface fires to firebrand lift-off and dispersal. International Journal of Wildland Fire 22(4):428-439.

Cataloging Information

Topics:
Fire Behavior    Fire Effects    Fuels    Models
Regions:
Alaska    California    Eastern    Great Basin    Hawaii    Northern Rockies    Northwest    Rocky Mountain    Southern    Southwest    National
Keywords:
  • crown
  • fire management
  • fire spread
  • firebrands
  • forest management
  • fuel breaks
  • fuel loading
  • fuel management
  • fuel moisture
  • Pinus ponderosa
  • ponderosa pine
  • rate of spread
  • size classes
  • spot fires
  • statistical analysis
  • surface fires
  • wildfires
Tall Timbers Record Number: 28970Location Status: In-fileCall Number: Journals - IAbstract Status: Okay, Fair use, Reproduced by permission
Record Last Modified:
Record Maintained By: FRAMES Staff (https://www.frames.gov/contact)
FRAMES Record Number: 14787

This bibliographic record was either created or modified by Tall Timbers and is provided without charge to promote research and education in Fire Ecology. The E.V. Komarek Fire Ecology Database is the intellectual property of Tall Timbers.