The economic efficiency of the National Fire Management Analysis System (NFMAS) and FIREPRO is examined. A brief history of the two programs is provided, as well as recent improvements to the contemporary theory of cost plus net value change (C+NVC). The NFMAS process is reviewed relative to the theory of C+NVC with particular focus on its ability to reliably locate the most efficient level (MEL) of preparedness/presuppression. FIREPRO is reviewed with regard to its ability to ensure cost effective resource allocations. Improvements and alternative approaches for both systems are suggested.