Title:
Experimental Seasonal Fire Forecasts for Alaska: 2011 Overview and Update
| Presenter(s): | Paul A. Duffy (Neptune and Company, Inc., paul.duffy@neptuneinc.org) |
| Distribution Contact(s): | Jennifer L. Northway (Bureau of Land Management, Alaska Fire Service (AFS), jennifer.northway@alaska.edu) |
| Publisher: | Alaska Fire Science Consortium |
Recording Date:
March
29,
2011
Description:
Atmospheric circulation patterns influence seasonal temperature and precipitation across large regions of Alaska. This experimental fire prediction tool uses this information to produce a forecast of area burned in Interior Alaska (i.e. South of the Brooks Range and North of the Alaska Range). By using the historical area burned data, historical teleconnection indices, and monthly temperature and precipitation indices for Interior Alaska, statistical models were constructed that forecast the area burned for the upcoming season based on the early season atmospheric circulation patterns. Paul A. Duffy of Neptune and Company, Inc. describes fire-climate linkages, reviews forecasting approaches and outputs, and discusses the importance of feedback from fire managers and planners. This webinar was hosted by the Alaska Fire Science Consortium (http://akfireconsortium.uaf.edu).
| Online Link(s): | Link to this video (wmv; 30.8 MB) |
| Link to this video (mp4; 47.0 MB) | |
| Please note that if you do not have high speed internet, you should download the video file and play it from your computer. To download the file, right click on the link and select "Save Target As..." (Internet Explorer), or "Save Link As..." (Firefox), or the equivalent option if you are using another browser. |
Related Record(s) on FRAMES:
| Related to: | |
| Tool: | Experimental Forecast of Area Burned for Interior Alaska |
Cataloging Information:
Keyword(s):
area burned; atmospheric circulation patterns; fire prediction; fire season severity; fire weather forecast; precipitation seasonality; predictive modelling; seasonal forecasts
FRAMES Subject Area(s):
FRAMES Geographic Area(s):
FRAMES Partner Site(s):
Record Maintained By:
FRAMES, catalog@frames.gov
Record Last Updated:
Oct 5, 2012
FRAMES Record Number:
10283